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Fact check: Cloud seeding didn't make it rain in Iran

DW (Deutsche Welle) 0 переглядів 6 хв читання
https://p.dw.com/p/5CleG
Storm clouds gather over rooftops in Tehran, Iran, in 2022
Iran experiences periods of intense rainfall despite being one of the world's most drought-prone countries — a pattern scientists attribute in part to climate changeImage: Vahid Salemi/AP Photo/picture alliance
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Back in 2018, an Iranian general put forth a theory about the country's drought: Israel was stealing Iran's clouds. He later walked back on the comments after Iran's own meteorological organization contradicted him, according to state media reports.  

Now, a similar claim has reemerged during the Iran war, and it has gone beyond the musings of a single general.  

Social media posts with millions of views referencea "weather war" and point to dams being filled and highways blanketed in snow as proof of climate interference in the region.

The viral conspiracy theory focuses on a technology called cloud seeding and a facility in the United Arab Emirates called the Research Program for Rain Enhancement Science. 

So what's the truth? Can a country really make it rain across borders? DW Fact Check consulted physicists and engineers to break down how the technology works. 

Did an attack on a cloud seeding facility change the temperature? 

Claim: "Wow, Iran bombed the 'Cloud-Seeding' radars in the UAE and suddenly the temperature shifted by 5 degrees in Tehran (unheard of) and it now it's raining and snowing," an X user wrotein a post viewed 3.4 million times, along with a video of a mosque covered in snow. Similarclaimsappearedall over social media.  

This claim seems to originate from a since-deleted post from the Iranian embassy in Afghanistan. No archived version of that post exists, but a major Iranian newspaper reportedthe embassy wrote, "After Iran destroyed the UAE's secret climate change center, the region's weather patterns completely changed. Iraq and Iran are now experiencing heavy weekly rainfall and a 5-degree drop in temperature." 

DW Fact check: False 

Screenshot of an X post claiming Iran bombed UAE cloud seeding infrastructure, causing a temperature shift and snowfall in Iran. The post was viewed 3.4 million times. It is labeled False.
A post viewed 3.4 million times claimed Iran bombed a UAE cloud seeding facility, causing snow in Iran

There are several issues with this claim — there's no evidence this research center was attacked in the first place, and scientists told DW this is a complete misrepresentation of how cloud seeding technology works.  

First, a weather report: A forecast from the World Meteorological Organization said to expect, "moderate / locally heavy rain and thunderstorms (flash floods / landslides possible) in NW & W Islamic Republic of Iran on 18-21 Apr." 

Videos of overflowing dams and elevated rivers are consistent with that forecast.  

As for the snow, that would genuinely be strange in Tehran in April. However, the video in question doesn't show Tehran, but the Imam Reza shrine in Masshad, Iran. That town sits at an elevation of nearly 1,000 meters in between two mountain ranges. Snow in April is not uncommon there, according to the Weather Atlas' historical data

It's also not uncommon for drought-stricken Iran to receive periods of intense precipitation — plus climate change is exacerbating the severity of these droughts and extreme rainfall events. In December 2025, Iran experienced severe flash floods and river overflow, according to the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs. 

The UAE's rain program 

The UAE does have a center called the Research Program for Rain Enhancement Science (UAEREP). But it's not a "secret climate change center," as allegedly claimed in the Iran embassy's deleted post. 

According to its website, UAEREP has been around since 1990 and "is at the forefront of advancing rainfall enhancement research and driving innovations that strengthen global water security." 

They both fund research from around the world and pilot their own cloud seeding operations. 

"I'm very familiar with it," said Armin Sorooshian, a University of Arizona researcher who studies the effects of aerosol particles on clouds. He adds: "For people who study atmospheric physics, aerosol cloud interactions, this is an opportunity that has existed for many years for funding, where people write proposals to this program."

A Google News search showed no results about the center being targeted in an Iranian strike; nor did any wire service, which consistently cover attacks on civilian infrastructure in the region. 

UAEREP did not return our calls or emails for official comment by the time of publication. But its official X feed has been posting updates well after it was allegedly destroyed, celebrating Earth Day and toutingits participation in a global conference. 

A pilot and a UAE official from the National Center for Meteorology inspect salt flares attached to a Beechcraft plane at al-Ain airport, used in cloud-seeding operations to trigger rainfall.
A pilot and UAE official check salt flares on a cloud-seeding aircraft at Al-Ain airport in 2015. The UAE runs nearly 300 cloud seeding missions a year to address water scarcityImage: Marwan Naamani/AFP

What is cloud seeding? 

The technology dates back to the mid-20th century and is called cloud seeding. Scientists discovered a technique to encourage rain from clouds that might already be on the verge of precipitation. 

They do this by releasing agents like silver iodide or sodium chloride into clouds using planes or ground-based launchers.  

Manmade rain in the desert

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"The key thing here is it doesn't make rain out of nothing," Edward Gryspeerdt, a professor in atmospheric physics at Imperial College London, told DW. "You can't have a clear sky, suddenly seed it, and get clouds and rain appearing. You need these clouds to exist already on the edge of raining, and you're just kind of tipping them over the edge." 

Because the clouds already have to be prone to precipitation, it can be hard to measure how effective the technique is. It's typically deployed in small-scale environments, like increasing snowpack over a ski slope, Gryspeerdt said. In the UAE, the goal is combating water stress

Cloud seeding capability 'very small scale'   

To date, the cloud seeding technologies cannot affect weather patterns across an entire region.  

"Even if they worked, they would still be at a very small scale," Gryspeerdt said. "They're not at the scale where they can change atmospheric flow patterns, for example, and shift rain far across the planet."

The current scientific literature suggests cloud seeding can increase precipitation by 5-20% on a micro scale.  

Researcher Armin Sorooshian told DW: "Maybe that precipitation can last longer and fall somewhere else, but the scale of what we're talking about — of weather patterns and increased precipitation in Iran — is so much larger than what can be accomplished with a seeding facility."

"It just doesn't make sense," he added, calling it a "very large scale mismatch."

Emad Hassan, Alima de Graaf and Ardit Toca contributed to this report.

Edited by Ines Eisele, Cai Nebe

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